Monday 30 March 2026 - Thought Leadership

Automotive recall risk in 2025: why the trend isn’t slowing down

For businesses that manufacture, distribute, or supply into the automotive sector, 2025 delivered a clear message: recall risk is not easing. European automotive product recall activity reached an all-time high last year with 900 events across EU and UK markets, up 34.5% from the previous record of 669 set in 2024. According to the Q4 State of the Nation Product Safety and Recall Index, published by our retained product recall crisis consultancy partner Sedgwick, this was the seventh consecutive year of rising automotive recall activity. For the automotive industry, this increase exceeded 30%, reaching a 10-year high. Understanding what is driving this trend is the first step to managing this risk.

car factory conveyor workers assembling cars

Sedgwick's Q4 State of the Nation Product Safety and Recall Index tracks recall data across the EU and UK for automotive, food and beverage, pharmaceutical, medical devices, and consumer products. In Q4 2025, automotive recall events fell 29.3% compared to the previous quarter - a meaningful quarterly improvement. However, this drop could be considered misleading. It follows what was, over the past year, the most active period for automotive recalls in a decade. A quieter Q4 does not reset the trend but instead punctuates it.

Using Sedgwick's data to identify the causes behind recall events, the picture becomes more concrete. Injury was the leading cause in Q4, with 147 recall incidents, rising to 154 when fire, strangulation, and burn risks were included. Fire and environmental risk followed as the next most frequent categories. These are not minor compliance footnotes. They are the kinds of incidents that trigger regulatory scrutiny, class actions, and significant reputational damage: the full anatomy of a recall crisis.

The rise in automotive recall activity does not reflect a sudden deterioration in manufacturing standards. In fact, the 2024 ISO Survey shows that the number of ISO 9001:2015 certificates issued has increased by 76% since 2023. Arguably, the recent rise in automotive recall activity reflects the complexity of the modern automotive supply chain, and the pressure that complexity is currently under. Sedgwick's analysis identifies trade disruption, tariff volatility, and scrutiny of supplier relationships, as significant contextual factors, compelling manufacturers at every tier to reevaluate how and where they source critical components.

This challenge is well documented; the automotive sector is a globalised industry built on tight and complex planning cycles. Choosing an appropriate and reliable supplier, qualifying a component, and integrating it into production, can take a long time. However, reacting to a trade dispute or a supplier failure requires more immediate action. The mismatch between the speed of supply chain disruption and the inertia of an established production system, is where defects can arise, and where recalls follow.

This is not exclusively a European problem. The US index, also published by Sedgwick for Q4 2025, highlights that US automakers face the same tension: a heavily regulated environment requiring long term supplier and production commitments, now navigating significant tariff-driven uncertainty. For businesses operating across both markets, or sourcing components from either, the risk profile compounds.

A product recall is rarely just a logistics problem. The direct costs of retrieval, disposal, replacement, and production downtime are significant. But the indirect costs are often larger. Reduced revenue, damaged customer relationships, and the potential resulting reputational harm, can outlast the recall itself by years. For businesses operating in or around the automotive supply chain, the data makes a compelling case that this is not a remote or theoretical exposure.

Product Recall insurance, structured correctly with specialist support behind it, can mean the difference between a recall that disrupts a business and one that defines it. Working alongside Sedgwick Brand Protection, Tokio Marine HCC – Specialty Group helps companies understand their exposure, stress test their recall response plans, and put risk transfer mechanisms in place for recall events.

Data sourced from Sedgwick's Q4 2025 State of the Nation Product Safety and Recall Index (Europe) and Q4 2025 US Recall Index. Sedgwick is our specialist recall consultancy partner.

Contact details

Crystal Collison
Crystal Collison

Assistant Underwriter